Pre-tourney Rankings
Conference USA
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
109 Southern Miss 0.0%   17 - 11 11 - 7 17 - 11 11 - 7 +4.3      +1.9 122 +2.4 112 63.3 319 +3.1 126 +2.5 4
117 Western Kentucky 0.0%   20 - 14 11 - 7 20 - 14 11 - 7 +3.8      +0.6 158 +3.2 89 69.0 167 +3.9 116 +2.5 3
122 Old Dominion 100.0%   13   26 - 8 13 - 5 26 - 8 13 - 5 +3.5      -1.6 222 +5.1 50 62.7 322 +6.5 80 +5.0 1
144 Louisiana Tech 0.0%   18 - 13 9 - 9 18 - 13 9 - 9 +1.6      0.0 175 +1.6 125 64.7 288 +1.0 152 -0.7 8
147 UAB 0.0%   18 - 14 10 - 8 18 - 14 10 - 8 +1.4      +1.7 127 -0.3 174 63.7 314 +0.8 156 +1.3 6
148 Texas San Antonio 0.0%   14 - 14 11 - 7 14 - 14 11 - 7 +1.2      +1.4 136 -0.2 170 77.5 26 +0.8 158 +2.6 2
161 North Texas 0.0%   18 - 12 8 - 10 18 - 12 8 - 10 -0.1      -3.6 273 +3.5 84 64.1 302 +0.5 164 -2.4 10
165 Florida Atlantic 0.0%   14 - 15 8 - 10 14 - 15 8 - 10 -0.5      -3.8 279 +3.3 86 69.0 163 -1.2 183 -2.2 9
171 Marshall 0.0%   19 - 14 11 - 7 19 - 14 11 - 7 -0.6      +2.7 102 -3.4 262 83.7 6 +2.3 135 +2.3 5
210 Florida International 0.0%   15 - 13 10 - 8 15 - 13 10 - 8 -2.7      -1.8 230 -0.9 189 92.2 1 +0.1 169 +0.9 7
239 Middle Tennessee 0.0%   9 - 21 8 - 10 9 - 21 8 - 10 -4.5      -3.6 276 -0.9 191 69.0 165 -4.3 232 -3.3 12
251 Rice 0.0%   11 - 19 8 - 10 11 - 19 8 - 10 -5.4      -1.4 214 -3.9 277 74.0 64 -4.8 235 -3.2 11
287 Charlotte 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 13 8 - 22 5 - 13 -7.1      -5.3 306 -1.8 222 62.8 321 -7.1 279 -7.0 13
290 UTEP 0.0%   6 - 21 3 - 15 6 - 21 3 - 15 -7.3      -9.8 342 +2.5 106 69.3 158 -10.4 318 -11.4 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Southern Miss 2.0 100.0
Western Kentucky 2.0 100.0
Old Dominion 1.0 100.0
Louisiana Tech 8.0 100.0
UAB 6.0 100.0
Texas San Antonio 2.0 100.0
North Texas 9.0 100.0
Florida Atlantic 9.0 100.0
Marshall 2.0 100.0
Florida International 6.0 100.0
Middle Tennessee 9.0 100.0
Rice 9.0 100.0
Charlotte 13.0 100.0
UTEP 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Southern Miss 11 - 3 100.0
Western Kentucky 11 - 3 100.0
Old Dominion 13 - 1 100.0
Louisiana Tech 9 - 5 100.0
UAB 10 - 4 100.0
Texas San Antonio 11 - 3 100.0
North Texas 8 - 6 100.0
Florida Atlantic 8 - 6 100.0
Marshall 11 - 3 100.0
Florida International 10 - 4 100.0
Middle Tennessee 8 - 6 100.0
Rice 8 - 6 100.0
Charlotte 5 - 9 100.0
UTEP 3 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Southern Miss
Western Kentucky
Old Dominion 100.0% 100.0
Louisiana Tech
UAB
Texas San Antonio
North Texas
Florida Atlantic
Marshall
Florida International
Middle Tennessee
Rice
Charlotte
UTEP


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Old Dominion 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   5.4 46.8 47.5 0.3
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 9.8% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 9.8% 0.1 90.2 9.8
Sweet Sixteen 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0